May 19, 2023
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gilbert Urbina | Orion Cosce |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 015 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -33 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Gilbert Urbina | Orion Cosce |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 001 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gilbert Urbina | Orion Cosce |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:55 | 2:55 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 054 | 951 |
| ELO Change | +96 | -47 |
Gilbert Urbina gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Gilbert Urbina | Orion Cosce |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 51 | 16 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 82 | 32 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 100 | 28 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 070 | 810 |
| ELO Change | +91 | -91 |
Gilbert Urbina dominated the striking exchanges with 100 vs 28 total strikes, 51 vs 16 significant strikes, 62.2% vs 50.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Gilbert Urbina capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gilbert Urbina | Orion Cosce |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:06 | 0:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 20 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 048 | 939 |
| ELO Change | +103 | -103 |
Gilbert Urbina controlled Orion Cosce on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 3:06 of control time, 20 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Gilbert Urbina | Orion Cosce |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 630 | 294 |
| Activity ELO | 999 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -22 |
Gilbert Urbina demonstrated extended layoff with 630 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Gilbert Urbina capitalized on this activity level, while Orion Cosce's 294-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gilbert Urbina | Orion Cosce |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 004 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -22 |
Gilbert Urbina started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Orion Cosce is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gilbert Urbina | Orion Cosce |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 001 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

