January 1, 2010
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gilbert Yvel | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 980 | 1 157 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Junior Dos Santos's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Junior Dos Santos for the expected result. Had Gilbert Yvel pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Gilbert Yvel | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 983 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gilbert Yvel | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:07 | 2:07 |
| Win Type ELO | 986 | 1 316 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +31 |
Junior Dos Santos earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:07, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Gilbert Yvel | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 18 | 33 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 3 | 17 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 962 | 1 343 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Junior Dos Santos controlled the striking exchanges with 14 vs 3 significant strikes, 42.4% vs 16.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Junior Dos Santos capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gilbert Yvel | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:07 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 966 | 1 162 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Gilbert Yvel | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 106 |
| Activity ELO | 984 | 1 126 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +40 |
Junior Dos Santos demonstrated solid activity levels with 106 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Junior Dos Santos capitalized on this activity level, while Gilbert Yvel's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gilbert Yvel | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 983 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +23 |
Junior Dos Santos extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gilbert Yvel is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gilbert Yvel | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 983 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

