November 9, 2024
Women's Strawweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Luana Pinheiro |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 18 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 12 | -12 |
| Experience ELO | 1 128 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Gillian Robertson's 12-fight experience advantage (18 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Gillian Robertson for the expected result. Had Luana Pinheiro pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Luana Pinheiro |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 090 | 995 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Luana Pinheiro |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 270 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Gillian Robertson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Luana Pinheiro |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 52 | 42 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 108 | 105 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 78 | 63 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 158 | 938 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
Gillian Robertson edged the striking exchanges with 52 vs 42 significant strikes, 48.1% vs 40.0% accuracy. Gillian Robertson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Luana Pinheiro |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 17 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 8:13 | 0:17 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 20 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 305 | 934 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Gillian Robertson dominated Luana Pinheiro on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 8:13 of control time, 20 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Luana Pinheiro |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 134 | 176 |
| Activity ELO | 1 182 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -14 |
Gillian Robertson demonstrated solid activity levels with 134 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Gillian Robertson capitalized on this activity level, while Luana Pinheiro's 176-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Luana Pinheiro |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 119 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -17 |
Gillian Robertson extended her 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Luana Pinheiro is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Luana Pinheiro |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 090 | 994 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

