Gillian Robertson vs Marina Rodriguez

May 3, 2025

Women's Strawweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1210
(+42)
Gillian Robertson
Winner: Gillian Robertson
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 2:07

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Gillian Robertson+42
Marina Rodriguez-35
1075
(-35)
Marina Rodriguez

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Gillian Robertson: +28Marina Rodriguez: -28

Performance Statistics

MetricGillian RobertsonMarina Rodriguez
Total UFC Fights1915
Experience Gap4-4
Experience ELO1 1561 063
ELO Change+28-28
💡

What Happened

Gillian Robertson's 4-fight experience advantage (19 vs 15 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Gillian Robertson for the expected result. Had Marina Rodriguez pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Gillian Robertson: +18Marina Rodriguez: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricGillian RobertsonMarina Rodriguez
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1081 024
ELO Change+18-18
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Gillian Robertson: +74Marina Rodriguez: -36

Performance Statistics

MetricGillian RobertsonMarina Rodriguez
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish2:072:07
Win Type ELO1 3441 183
ELO Change+74-36
💡

What Happened

Gillian Robertson gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Gillian Robertson: +112Marina Rodriguez: -112

Performance Statistics

MetricGillian RobertsonMarina Rodriguez
Significant Strikes Landed164
Significant Strikes Attempted4117
Total Strikes Landed737
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 2701 074
ELO Change+112-112
💡

What Happened

Gillian Robertson dominated the striking exchanges with 73 vs 7 total strikes, 16 vs 4 significant strikes, 39.0% vs 23.5% accuracy. Gillian Robertson capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Gillian Robertson: +30Marina Rodriguez: -30

Performance Statistics

MetricGillian RobertsonMarina Rodriguez
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted30
Ground Control Time5:210:00
Ground Strikes Landed100
Ground ELO1 3351 031
ELO Change+30-30
💡

What Happened

Gillian Robertson controlled Marina Rodriguez on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 5:21 of control time, 10 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Gillian Robertson: +35Marina Rodriguez: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricGillian RobertsonMarina Rodriguez
Days Since Last Fight175210
Activity ELO1 2171 149
ELO Change+35-20
💡

What Happened

Gillian Robertson demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Gillian Robertson capitalized on this activity level, while Marina Rodriguez's 210-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Gillian Robertson: +26Marina Rodriguez: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricGillian RobertsonMarina Rodriguez
Win Streak40
Win Streak ELO1 1451 057
ELO Change+26-18
💡

What Happened

Gillian Robertson extended her 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marina Rodriguez is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Gillian Robertson: +18Marina Rodriguez: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricGillian RobertsonMarina Rodriguez
Weight ClassWomen's StrawweightWomen's Strawweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1081 020
ELO Change+18-18
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.