October 16, 2020
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Poliana Botelho |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 080 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Gillian Robertson's 3-fight experience advantage (8 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Gillian Robertson for the expected result. Had Poliana Botelho pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Poliana Botelho |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 070 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Poliana Botelho |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 217 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Gillian Robertson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Poliana Botelho |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 57 | 22 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 98 | 43 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 104 | 39 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 109 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -55 |
Gillian Robertson dominated the striking exchanges with 104 vs 39 total strikes, 57 vs 22 significant strikes. Gillian Robertson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Poliana Botelho |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 9:34 | 1:16 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 48 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 288 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Gillian Robertson dominated Poliana Botelho on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 9:34 of control time, 48 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Poliana Botelho |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | 553 |
| Activity ELO | 1 143 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -19 |
Gillian Robertson demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Gillian Robertson capitalized on this activity level, while Poliana Botelho's 553-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Poliana Botelho |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 086 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Gillian Robertson extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Poliana Botelho is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Poliana Botelho |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 070 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.