December 10, 2021
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Priscila Cachoeira |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 041 | 942 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Gillian Robertson's 5-fight experience advantage (11 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Gillian Robertson for the expected result. Had Priscila Cachoeira pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Priscila Cachoeira |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 042 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Priscila Cachoeira |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:59 | 4:59 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 172 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | +73 | -44 |
Gillian Robertson earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:59, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Priscila Cachoeira |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 32 | 20 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 43 | 36 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 52 | 22 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 038 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -43 |
Gillian Robertson controlled the striking exchanges with 52 vs 22 total strikes, 32 vs 20 significant strikes, 74.4% vs 55.6% accuracy. Gillian Robertson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Priscila Cachoeira |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:49 | 0:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 21 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 144 | 796 |
| ELO Change | +67 | -67 |
Gillian Robertson dominated Priscila Cachoeira on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:49 of control time, 21 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Priscila Cachoeira |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 259 | 211 |
| Activity ELO | 1 107 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -15 |
Gillian Robertson demonstrated standard activity with 259 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Gillian Robertson capitalized on this activity level, while Priscila Cachoeira's 211-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Priscila Cachoeira |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 057 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -18 |
Gillian Robertson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Priscila Cachoeira is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Priscila Cachoeira |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 042 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.