July 26, 2019
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Sarah Frota |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 029 | 945 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Gillian Robertson's 3-fight experience advantage (5 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Gillian Robertson for the expected result. Had Sarah Frota pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Sarah Frota |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 053 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Sarah Frota |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:13 | 4:13 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 166 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -29 |
Gillian Robertson gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Sarah Frota |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 29 | 9 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 42 | 20 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 51 | 33 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 107 | 921 |
| ELO Change | +60 | -60 |
Gillian Robertson controlled the striking exchanges with 29 vs 9 significant strikes, 69.0% vs 45.0% accuracy. Gillian Robertson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Sarah Frota |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:52 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 22 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 1 182 | 929 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Gillian Robertson controlled Sarah Frota on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 7:52 of control time, 22 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Sarah Frota |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 154 | 175 |
| Activity ELO | 1 089 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -16 |
Gillian Robertson demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Gillian Robertson capitalized on this activity level, while Sarah Frota's 175-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Sarah Frota |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 063 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -17 |
Gillian Robertson extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sarah Frota is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Sarah Frota |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 053 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.