June 23, 2023
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Tabatha Ricci |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 10 | -10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 050 | 1 127 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +54 |
Tabatha Ricci overcame a 10-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 15 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Gillian Robertson.
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Tabatha Ricci |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 040 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Tabatha Ricci |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 165 | 1 167 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +54 |
Tabatha Ricci earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Tabatha Ricci |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 76 | 100 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 219 | 315 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 78 | 101 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 043 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Tabatha Ricci controlled the striking exchanges with 101 vs 78 total strikes, 100 vs 76 significant strikes. Tabatha Ricci capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Tabatha Ricci |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:26 | 0:38 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 223 | 1 368 |
| ELO Change | -71 | +71 |
Tabatha Ricci controlled Gillian Robertson on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 0:38 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Tabatha Ricci |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 70 | 112 |
| Activity ELO | 1 103 | 1 131 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +61 |
Tabatha Ricci demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Tabatha Ricci capitalized on this activity level, while Gillian Robertson's 70-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Tabatha Ricci |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 059 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +32 |
Tabatha Ricci extended her 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gillian Robertson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Tabatha Ricci |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 040 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.