February 22, 2019
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Veronica Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 000 | 885 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Veronica Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 035 | 942 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Veronica Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:27 | 3:27 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 107 | 893 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -25 |
Gillian Robertson earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:27, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Veronica Hardy was submitted.
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Veronica Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 23 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 8 | 41 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 10 | 35 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 047 | 872 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
Veronica Hardy controlled the striking through superior volume (35 vs 10 total strikes), significant strike advantage (23 vs 5). However, since Veronica Hardy lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Gillian Robertson's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Veronica Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:27 | 1:50 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 13 |
| Ground ELO | 1 147 | 830 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Gillian Robertson controlled Veronica Hardy on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 4:27 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Veronica Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 155 | 281 |
| Activity ELO | 1 061 | 942 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -17 |
Gillian Robertson demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Gillian Robertson capitalized on this activity level, while Veronica Hardy's 281-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Veronica Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 042 | 942 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -17 |
Gillian Robertson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Veronica Hardy is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gillian Robertson | Veronica Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 035 | 942 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.