November 27, 2020
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gina Mazany | Rachael Ostovich |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 957 | 934 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Gina Mazany's 2-fight experience advantage (6 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Gina Mazany for the expected result. Had Rachael Ostovich pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Gina Mazany | Rachael Ostovich |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 967 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gina Mazany | Rachael Ostovich |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:10 | 4:10 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 015 | 947 |
| ELO Change | +106 | -53 |
Gina Mazany gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Gina Mazany | Rachael Ostovich |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 72 | 41 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 162 | 95 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 106 | 49 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 970 | 828 |
| ELO Change | +142 | -142 |
Gina Mazany dominated the striking exchanges with 106 vs 49 total strikes, 72 vs 41 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Gina Mazany capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gina Mazany | Rachael Ostovich |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 7 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 12 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:53 | 0:11 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 18 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 000 | 732 |
| ELO Change | +70 | -70 |
Gina Mazany dominated Rachael Ostovich on the ground with 7 vs 0 takedowns, 6:53 of control time, 18 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Gina Mazany | Rachael Ostovich |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 169 | 679 |
| Activity ELO | 987 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -23 |
Gina Mazany demonstrated solid activity levels with 169 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Gina Mazany capitalized on this activity level, while Rachael Ostovich's 679-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gina Mazany | Rachael Ostovich |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 971 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -23 |
Gina Mazany started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rachael Ostovich is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gina Mazany | Rachael Ostovich |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 967 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.