February 18, 2017
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gina Mazany | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 973 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Sara McMann's 7-fight experience advantage (8 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Sara McMann for the expected result. Had Gina Mazany pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Gina Mazany | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 981 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gina Mazany | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:14 | 1:14 |
| Win Type ELO | 973 | 1 180 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +51 |
Sara McMann earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:14, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Gina Mazany | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 2 | 14 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 906 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | -94 | +94 |
Sara McMann slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 7 vs 0 significant strikes, 50.0% vs 0.0% accuracy. Sara McMann capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gina Mazany | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 911 | 1 211 |
| ELO Change | -89 | +89 |
Sara McMann dominated Gina Mazany on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 1:02 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Gina Mazany | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 78 |
| Activity ELO | 982 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +53 |
Sara McMann demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 78 days since her last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Sara McMann capitalized on this activity level, while Gina Mazany's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gina Mazany | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 981 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +24 |
Sara McMann extended her 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gina Mazany is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gina Mazany | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 981 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.