September 23, 2016
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Glaico Franca Moreira | Gregor Gillespie |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 934 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | -67 | +67 |
Gregor Gillespie overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 3 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Glaico Franca Moreira.
| Metric | Glaico Franca Moreira | Gregor Gillespie |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 983 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Glaico Franca Moreira | Gregor Gillespie |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 993 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +47 |
Gregor Gillespie earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Glaico Franca Moreira | Gregor Gillespie |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 43 | 41 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 102 | 90 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 71 | 109 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 970 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Gregor Gillespie controlled the striking exchanges with 109 vs 71 total strikes. Gregor Gillespie capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Glaico Franca Moreira | Gregor Gillespie |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 19 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:03 | 11:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 15 |
| Ground ELO | 986 | 1 153 |
| ELO Change | -153 | +153 |
Gregor Gillespie dominated Glaico Franca Moreira on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 11:00 of control time, 15 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Glaico Franca Moreira | Gregor Gillespie |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 154 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 985 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Gregor Gillespie demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Gregor Gillespie capitalized on this activity level, while Glaico Franca Moreira's 154-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Glaico Franca Moreira | Gregor Gillespie |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 986 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +24 |
Gregor Gillespie started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Glaico Franca Moreira is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Glaico Franca Moreira | Gregor Gillespie |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 983 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.