June 11, 2007
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gleison Tibau | Jeff Cox |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 034 | 969 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Gleison Tibau's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Gleison Tibau for the expected result. Had Jeff Cox pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Gleison Tibau | Jeff Cox |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 022 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gleison Tibau | Jeff Cox |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:52 | 1:52 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 091 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +77 | -40 |
Gleison Tibau earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:52, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Gleison Tibau | Jeff Cox |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 5 | 4 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 4 | 1 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 038 | 930 |
| ELO Change | +70 | -70 |
Virtually no striking took place with only 3 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.
| Metric | Gleison Tibau | Jeff Cox |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:56 | 0:12 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 094 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Gleison Tibau edged out Jeff Cox on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:56 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Gleison Tibau | Jeff Cox |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 101 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 083 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -19 |
Gleison Tibau demonstrated solid activity levels with 101 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Gleison Tibau capitalized on this activity level, while Jeff Cox's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gleison Tibau | Jeff Cox |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 029 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -21 |
Gleison Tibau extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jeff Cox is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gleison Tibau | Jeff Cox |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 022 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

