Gleison Tibau vs Jeff Cox

June 11, 2007

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1052
(+42)
Gleison Tibau
Winner: Gleison Tibau
Submission
Round 1 • 1:52

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Gleison Tibau+42
Jeff Cox-33
967
(-33)
Jeff Cox

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Gleison Tibau: +31Jeff Cox: -31

Performance Statistics

MetricGleison TibauJeff Cox
Total UFC Fights31
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 034969
ELO Change+31-31
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What Happened

Gleison Tibau's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Gleison Tibau for the expected result. Had Jeff Cox pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Gleison Tibau: +21Jeff Cox: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricGleison TibauJeff Cox
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 022979
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Gleison Tibau: +77Jeff Cox: -40

Performance Statistics

MetricGleison TibauJeff Cox
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish1:521:52
Win Type ELO1 091960
ELO Change+77-40
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What Happened

Gleison Tibau earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:52, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Gleison Tibau: +70Jeff Cox: -70

Performance Statistics

MetricGleison TibauJeff Cox
Significant Strikes Landed30
Significant Strikes Attempted54
Total Strikes Landed41
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 038930
ELO Change+70-70
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What Happened

Virtually no striking took place with only 3 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Gleison Tibau: +38Jeff Cox: -38

Performance Statistics

MetricGleison TibauJeff Cox
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time0:560:12
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 094962
ELO Change+38-38
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What Happened

Gleison Tibau edged out Jeff Cox on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:56 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Gleison Tibau: +47Jeff Cox: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricGleison TibauJeff Cox
Days Since Last Fight101N/A
Activity ELO1 083981
ELO Change+47-19
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What Happened

Gleison Tibau demonstrated solid activity levels with 101 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Gleison Tibau capitalized on this activity level, while Jeff Cox's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Gleison Tibau: +25Jeff Cox: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricGleison TibauJeff Cox
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 029979
ELO Change+25-21
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What Happened

Gleison Tibau extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jeff Cox is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Gleison Tibau: +21Jeff Cox: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricGleison TibauJeff Cox
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 022979
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.