March 31, 2009
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gleison Tibau | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 082 | 994 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (8 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Gleison Tibau | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 047 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gleison Tibau | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 180 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Gleison Tibau earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Gleison Tibau | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 7 | 23 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 20 | 40 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 46 | 40 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 096 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Jeremy Stephens controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (23 vs 7), superior accuracy (57.5% vs 35.0%). However, since Jeremy Stephens lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Gleison Tibau's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Gleison Tibau | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 13 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 10:07 | 0:45 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 262 | 973 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Gleison Tibau controlled Jeremy Stephens on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 10:07 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Gleison Tibau | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 53 | 53 |
| Activity ELO | 1 217 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | +90 | -18 |
Gleison Tibau demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 53 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Gleison Tibau capitalized on this activity level, while Jeremy Stephens's 53-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gleison Tibau | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 065 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -19 |
Gleison Tibau extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jeremy Stephens is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gleison Tibau | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 046 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.