Gleison Tibau vs John Cholish

May 17, 2013

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1188
(+25)
Gleison Tibau
Winner: Gleison Tibau
Submission
Round 2 • 2:34

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Gleison Tibau+25
John Cholish-22
995
(-22)
John Cholish

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Gleison Tibau: +22John Cholish: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricGleison TibauJohn Cholish
Total UFC Fights193
Experience Gap16-16
Experience ELO1 129976
ELO Change+22-22
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What Happened

Gleison Tibau's 16-fight experience advantage (19 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Gleison Tibau for the expected result. Had John Cholish pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Gleison Tibau: +17John Cholish: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricGleison TibauJohn Cholish
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 085984
ELO Change+17-17
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Gleison Tibau: +35John Cholish: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricGleison TibauJohn Cholish
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish2:342:34
Win Type ELO1 2541 025
ELO Change+35-23
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What Happened

Gleison Tibau earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:34, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. John Cholish was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Gleison Tibau: +30John Cholish: -30

Performance Statistics

MetricGleison TibauJohn Cholish
Significant Strikes Landed219
Significant Strikes Attempted6726
Total Strikes Landed239
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 2071 020
ELO Change+30-30
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What Happened

Gleison Tibau edged the striking exchanges with 21 vs 9 significant strikes. Gleison Tibau capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Gleison Tibau: +44John Cholish: -44

Performance Statistics

MetricGleison TibauJohn Cholish
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted41
Ground Control Time1:270:07
Ground Strikes Landed10
Ground ELO1 358984
ELO Change+44-44
💡

What Happened

Gleison Tibau dominated John Cholish on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 1:27 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Gleison Tibau: +21John Cholish: -8

Performance Statistics

MetricGleison TibauJohn Cholish
Days Since Last Fight105378
Activity ELO1 2701 000
ELO Change+21-8
💡

What Happened

Gleison Tibau demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Gleison Tibau capitalized on this activity level, while John Cholish's 378-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Gleison Tibau: +17John Cholish: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricGleison TibauJohn Cholish
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 118989
ELO Change+17-15
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What Happened

Gleison Tibau started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. John Cholish is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Gleison Tibau: +17John Cholish: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricGleison TibauJohn Cholish
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 085984
ELO Change+17-17
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.