July 6, 2012
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gleison Tibau | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 16 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 14 | -14 |
| Experience ELO | 1 116 | 1 139 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +77 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov overcame a 14-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 16 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Gleison Tibau.
| Metric | Gleison Tibau | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 073 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gleison Tibau | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 203 | 1 125 |
| ELO Change | -64 | +64 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Gleison Tibau | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 28 | 25 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 87 | 101 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 46 | 33 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 221 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Gleison Tibau lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Khabib Nurmagomedov's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Gleison Tibau | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 13 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:17 | 4:26 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 322 | 1 207 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +45 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov slightly outworked Gleison Tibau on the ground with 0 takedowns, 4:26 of control time, earning modest grappling bonuses.
| Metric | Gleison Tibau | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 231 | 169 |
| Activity ELO | 1 256 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +61 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov demonstrated solid activity levels with 169 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Khabib Nurmagomedov capitalized on this activity level, while Gleison Tibau's 231-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gleison Tibau | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 106 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +33 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gleison Tibau is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gleison Tibau | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 073 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.