June 19, 2009
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gleison Tibau | Melvin Guillard |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 047 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +38 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (9 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Gleison Tibau | Melvin Guillard |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 024 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gleison Tibau | Melvin Guillard |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 169 | 1 164 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +11 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Melvin Guillard receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Gleison Tibau | Melvin Guillard |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 14 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 50 | 50 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 72 | 19 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 084 | 1 272 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
Gleison Tibau controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (72 vs 19 total strikes). However, since Gleison Tibau lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Melvin Guillard's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Gleison Tibau | Melvin Guillard |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 6 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 14 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 8:33 | 0:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 216 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Melvin Guillard did not secure a significant ground advantage against Gleison Tibau on the ground with 1 takedown, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Gleison Tibau | Melvin Guillard |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 80 | 350 |
| Activity ELO | 1 188 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Melvin Guillard demonstrated standard activity with 350 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Melvin Guillard capitalized on this activity level, while Gleison Tibau's 80-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gleison Tibau | Melvin Guillard |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 042 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +28 |
Melvin Guillard extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gleison Tibau is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gleison Tibau | Melvin Guillard |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 023 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.