Gleison Tibau vs Rafael Dos Anjos

November 18, 2011

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1208
(+22)
Gleison Tibau
Winner: Gleison Tibau
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Gleison Tibau+22
Rafael Dos Anjos-20
1110
(-20)
Rafael Dos Anjos

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Gleison Tibau: +27Rafael Dos Anjos: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricGleison TibauRafael Dos Anjos
Total UFC Fights158
Experience Gap7-7
Experience ELO1 1561 057
ELO Change+27-27
💡

What Happened

Gleison Tibau's 7-fight experience advantage (15 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Gleison Tibau for the expected result. Had Rafael Dos Anjos pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Gleison Tibau: +19Rafael Dos Anjos: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricGleison TibauRafael Dos Anjos
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0991 020
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Gleison Tibau: +11Rafael Dos Anjos: -11

Performance Statistics

MetricGleison TibauRafael Dos Anjos
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 2671 273
ELO Change+11-11
💡

What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Gleison Tibau receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Gleison Tibau: +36Rafael Dos Anjos: -36

Performance Statistics

MetricGleison TibauRafael Dos Anjos
Significant Strikes Landed5625
Significant Strikes Attempted12896
Total Strikes Landed6439
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 2521 154
ELO Change+36-36
💡

What Happened

Gleison Tibau controlled the striking exchanges with 64 vs 39 total strikes, 56 vs 25 significant strikes, 43.8% vs 26.0% accuracy. Gleison Tibau capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Gleison Tibau: +19Rafael Dos Anjos: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricGleison TibauRafael Dos Anjos
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted48
Ground Control Time1:432:01
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 3671 172
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

Gleison Tibau edged out Rafael Dos Anjos on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 1:43 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Gleison Tibau: +25Rafael Dos Anjos: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricGleison TibauRafael Dos Anjos
Days Since Last Fight176141
Activity ELO1 2911 136
ELO Change+25-14
💡

What Happened

Gleison Tibau demonstrated solid activity levels with 176 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Gleison Tibau capitalized on this activity level, while Rafael Dos Anjos's 141-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Gleison Tibau: +24Rafael Dos Anjos: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricGleison TibauRafael Dos Anjos
Win Streak30
Win Streak ELO1 1331 045
ELO Change+24-18
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What Happened

Gleison Tibau extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rafael Dos Anjos is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Gleison Tibau: +19Rafael Dos Anjos: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricGleison TibauRafael Dos Anjos
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0991 020
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.