Gleison Tibau vs Rafaello Oliveira

May 27, 2011

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1186
(+27)
Gleison Tibau
Winner: Gleison Tibau
Submission
Round 2 • 3:28

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Gleison Tibau+27
Rafaello Oliveira-23
972
(-23)
Rafaello Oliveira

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Gleison Tibau: +21Rafaello Oliveira: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricGleison TibauRafaello Oliveira
Total UFC Fights144
Experience Gap10-10
Experience ELO1 129970
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

Gleison Tibau's 10-fight experience advantage (14 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Gleison Tibau for the expected result. Had Rafaello Oliveira pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Gleison Tibau: +16Rafaello Oliveira: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricGleison TibauRafaello Oliveira
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 080964
ELO Change+16-16
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Gleison Tibau: +23Rafaello Oliveira: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricGleison TibauRafaello Oliveira
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish3:283:28
Win Type ELO1 256955
ELO Change+23-15
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What Happened

Gleison Tibau earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:28, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Rafaello Oliveira was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Gleison Tibau: +43Rafaello Oliveira: -43

Performance Statistics

MetricGleison TibauRafaello Oliveira
Significant Strikes Landed1912
Significant Strikes Attempted5648
Total Strikes Landed3815
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 216985
ELO Change+43-43
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What Happened

Gleison Tibau controlled the striking exchanges with 38 vs 15 total strikes, 19 vs 12 significant strikes, 33.9% vs 25.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Gleison Tibau capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Gleison Tibau: +51Rafaello Oliveira: -51

Performance Statistics

MetricGleison TibauRafaello Oliveira
Takedowns Landed30
Takedowns Attempted33
Ground Control Time2:210:14
Ground Strikes Landed90
Ground ELO1 348967
ELO Change+51-51
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What Happened

Gleison Tibau dominated Rafaello Oliveira on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 2:21 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Gleison Tibau: +27Rafaello Oliveira: -9

Performance Statistics

MetricGleison TibauRafaello Oliveira
Days Since Last Fight70423
Activity ELO1 2661 004
ELO Change+27-9
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What Happened

Gleison Tibau demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 70 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Gleison Tibau capitalized on this activity level, while Rafaello Oliveira's 423-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Gleison Tibau: +18Rafaello Oliveira: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricGleison TibauRafaello Oliveira
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 109967
ELO Change+18-15
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What Happened

Gleison Tibau extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rafaello Oliveira is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Gleison Tibau: +16Rafaello Oliveira: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricGleison TibauRafaello Oliveira
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 080964
ELO Change+16-16
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.