March 12, 2021
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gloria de Paula | Jinh Yu Frey |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 964 | 989 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Jinh Yu Frey's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jinh Yu Frey for the expected result. Had Gloria de Paula pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Gloria de Paula | Jinh Yu Frey |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 977 | 982 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gloria de Paula | Jinh Yu Frey |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 948 | 970 |
| ELO Change | -52 | +52 |
Jinh Yu Frey earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Gloria de Paula | Jinh Yu Frey |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 31 | 24 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 63 | 79 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 51 | 50 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 975 | 953 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Gloria de Paula controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (31 vs 24), superior accuracy (49.2% vs 30.4%). However, since Gloria de Paula lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Jinh Yu Frey's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Gloria de Paula | Jinh Yu Frey |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:05 | 9:33 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 878 | 958 |
| ELO Change | -122 | +122 |
Jinh Yu Frey dominated Gloria de Paula on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 9:33 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Gloria de Paula | Jinh Yu Frey |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 162 |
| Activity ELO | 977 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +41 |
Jinh Yu Frey demonstrated solid activity levels with 162 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jinh Yu Frey capitalized on this activity level, while Gloria de Paula's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gloria de Paula | Jinh Yu Frey |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 977 | 985 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +26 |
Jinh Yu Frey started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gloria de Paula is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gloria de Paula | Jinh Yu Frey |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 977 | 982 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.