June 17, 2022
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gloria de Paula | Maria Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 948 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +37 |
Maria Oliveira overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Gloria de Paula.
| Metric | Gloria de Paula | Maria Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 958 | 999 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gloria de Paula | Maria Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 945 | 965 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +11 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Maria Oliveira receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Gloria de Paula | Maria Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 105 | 96 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 190 | 297 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 116 | 99 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 885 | 988 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Gloria de Paula controlled the striking through superior volume (116 vs 99 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (105 vs 96), superior accuracy (55.3% vs 32.3%). However, since Gloria de Paula lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Maria Oliveira's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Gloria de Paula | Maria Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:49 | 1:35 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 838 | 911 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Maria Oliveira edged out Gloria de Paula on the ground with 2 takedowns, 1:35 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Gloria de Paula | Maria Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | 238 |
| Activity ELO | 963 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +27 |
Maria Oliveira demonstrated standard activity with 238 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Maria Oliveira capitalized on this activity level, while Gloria de Paula's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gloria de Paula | Maria Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 960 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Maria Oliveira started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gloria de Paula is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gloria de Paula | Maria Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 958 | 999 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.