Glover Teixeira vs Karl Roberson

January 18, 2019

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1245
(+16)
Glover Teixeira
Winner: Glover Teixeira
Submission
Round 1 • 3:21

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Glover Teixeira+16
Karl Roberson-15
1036
(-15)
Karl Roberson

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Glover Teixeira: +19Karl Roberson: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricGlover TeixeiraKarl Roberson
Total UFC Fights164
Experience Gap12-12
Experience ELO1 2381 056
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

Glover Teixeira's 12-fight experience advantage (16 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Glover Teixeira for the expected result. Had Karl Roberson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Glover Teixeira: +16Karl Roberson: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricGlover TeixeiraKarl Roberson
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1291 007
ELO Change+16-16
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Glover Teixeira: +15Karl Roberson: -9

Performance Statistics

MetricGlover TeixeiraKarl Roberson
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish3:213:21
Win Type ELO1 4581 073
ELO Change+15-9
💡

What Happened

Glover Teixeira earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:21, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Glover Teixeira: +12Karl Roberson: -12

Performance Statistics

MetricGlover TeixeiraKarl Roberson
Significant Strikes Landed624
Significant Strikes Attempted1130
Total Strikes Landed2029
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 2361 049
ELO Change+12-12
💡

What Happened

Karl Roberson controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (24 vs 6), superior accuracy (80.0% vs 54.5%), 1 knockdown. However, since Karl Roberson lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Glover Teixeira's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Glover Teixeira: +26Karl Roberson: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricGlover TeixeiraKarl Roberson
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted30
Ground Control Time1:460:42
Ground Strikes Landed617
Ground ELO1 3111 042
ELO Change+26-26
💡

What Happened

Glover Teixeira controlled Karl Roberson on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:46 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Glover Teixeira: +11Karl Roberson: -9

Performance Statistics

MetricGlover TeixeiraKarl Roberson
Days Since Last Fight18277
Activity ELO1 2951 038
ELO Change+11-9
💡

What Happened

Glover Teixeira demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Glover Teixeira capitalized on this activity level, while Karl Roberson's 77-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Glover Teixeira: +15Karl Roberson: -13

Performance Statistics

MetricGlover TeixeiraKarl Roberson
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 1761 016
ELO Change+15-13
💡

What Happened

Glover Teixeira started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Karl Roberson is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Glover Teixeira: +16Karl Roberson: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricGlover TeixeiraKarl Roberson
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1181 007
ELO Change+16-16
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.