January 18, 2019
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Glover Teixeira | Karl Roberson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 16 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 12 | -12 |
| Experience ELO | 1 238 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Glover Teixeira's 12-fight experience advantage (16 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Glover Teixeira for the expected result. Had Karl Roberson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Glover Teixeira | Karl Roberson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 129 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Glover Teixeira | Karl Roberson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:21 | 3:21 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 458 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -9 |
Glover Teixeira earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:21, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Glover Teixeira | Karl Roberson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 24 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 11 | 30 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 20 | 29 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 236 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
Karl Roberson controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (24 vs 6), superior accuracy (80.0% vs 54.5%), 1 knockdown. However, since Karl Roberson lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Glover Teixeira's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Glover Teixeira | Karl Roberson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:46 | 0:42 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 17 |
| Ground ELO | 1 311 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Glover Teixeira controlled Karl Roberson on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:46 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Glover Teixeira | Karl Roberson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 182 | 77 |
| Activity ELO | 1 295 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -9 |
Glover Teixeira demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Glover Teixeira capitalized on this activity level, while Karl Roberson's 77-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Glover Teixeira | Karl Roberson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 176 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -13 |
Glover Teixeira started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Karl Roberson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Glover Teixeira | Karl Roberson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 118 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

