March 22, 2014
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Godofredo Pepey | Noad Lahat |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 994 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Godofredo Pepey's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Godofredo Pepey for the expected result. Had Noad Lahat pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Godofredo Pepey | Noad Lahat |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 982 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Godofredo Pepey | Noad Lahat |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:39 | 2:39 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 019 | 946 |
| ELO Change | +122 | -54 |
Godofredo Pepey earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:39, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Godofredo Pepey | Noad Lahat |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 11 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 23 | 22 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 5 | 12 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 964 | 881 |
| ELO Change | +119 | -119 |
Noad Lahat controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (11 vs 5), superior accuracy (50.0% vs 21.7%). However, since Noad Lahat lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Godofredo Pepey's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Godofredo Pepey | Noad Lahat |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:18 | 0:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 911 | 972 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Godofredo Pepey | Noad Lahat |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 134 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 011 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -23 |
Godofredo Pepey demonstrated solid activity levels with 134 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Godofredo Pepey capitalized on this activity level, while Noad Lahat's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Godofredo Pepey | Noad Lahat |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 987 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -23 |
Godofredo Pepey started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Noad Lahat is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Godofredo Pepey | Noad Lahat |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 982 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

