July 6, 2018
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gokhan Saki | Khalil Rountree Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 019 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Khalil Rountree Jr.'s 4-fight experience advantage (6 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Khalil Rountree Jr. for the expected result. Had Gokhan Saki pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Gokhan Saki | Khalil Rountree Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 997 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gokhan Saki | Khalil Rountree Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:36 | 1:36 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 053 | 1 223 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +88 |
Khalil Rountree Jr. earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:36, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Gokhan Saki | Khalil Rountree Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 9 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 11 | 17 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 5 | 9 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 987 | 1 206 |
| ELO Change | -88 | +88 |
Khalil Rountree Jr. controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Khalil Rountree Jr. capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gokhan Saki | Khalil Rountree Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 954 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -57 | +57 |
Khalil Rountree Jr. landed 1 knockdown followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Gokhan Saki | Khalil Rountree Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 288 | 189 |
| Activity ELO | 1 002 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +23 |
Khalil Rountree Jr. demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Khalil Rountree Jr. capitalized on this activity level, while Gokhan Saki's 288-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gokhan Saki | Khalil Rountree Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 000 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Khalil Rountree Jr. started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gokhan Saki is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gokhan Saki | Khalil Rountree Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 997 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.