April 29, 2022
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Grant Dawson | Jared Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 202 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -28 |
Grant Dawson overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 10 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jared Gordon.
| Metric | Grant Dawson | Jared Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 117 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Grant Dawson | Jared Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:11 | 4:11 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 324 | 1 122 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -26 |
Grant Dawson earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 4:11, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Jared Gordon was submitted.
| Metric | Grant Dawson | Jared Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 54 | 77 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 111 | 119 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 98 | 111 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 218 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Jared Gordon controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (77 vs 54), superior accuracy (64.7% vs 48.6%). However, since Jared Gordon lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Grant Dawson's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Grant Dawson | Jared Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 7 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 17 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:11 | 1:12 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 479 | 1 145 |
| ELO Change | +98 | -98 |
Grant Dawson dominated Jared Gordon on the ground with 7 vs 0 takedowns, 7:11 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Grant Dawson | Jared Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 189 | 210 |
| Activity ELO | 1 187 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -18 |
Grant Dawson demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Grant Dawson capitalized on this activity level, while Jared Gordon's 210-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Grant Dawson | Jared Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 161 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -18 |
Grant Dawson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jared Gordon is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Grant Dawson | Jared Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 117 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.