Grant Dawson vs Joe Solecki

May 31, 2024

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1250
(+27)
Grant Dawson
Winner: Grant Dawson
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Grant Dawson+27
Joe Solecki-26
1095
(-26)
Joe Solecki

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Grant Dawson: +29Joe Solecki: -29

Performance Statistics

MetricGrant DawsonJoe Solecki
Total UFC Fights118
Experience Gap3-3
Experience ELO1 2461 156
ELO Change+29-29
💡

What Happened

Grant Dawson's 3-fight experience advantage (11 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Grant Dawson for the expected result. Had Joe Solecki pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Grant Dawson: +17Joe Solecki: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricGrant DawsonJoe Solecki
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1441 042
ELO Change+17-17
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Grant Dawson: +24Joe Solecki: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricGrant DawsonJoe Solecki
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 3591 147
ELO Change+24-24
💡

What Happened

Grant Dawson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Grant Dawson: +57Joe Solecki: -57

Performance Statistics

MetricGrant DawsonJoe Solecki
Significant Strikes Landed4612
Significant Strikes Attempted7019
Total Strikes Landed14627
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 1881 043
ELO Change+57-57
💡

What Happened

Grant Dawson dominated the striking exchanges with 146 vs 27 total strikes, 46 vs 12 significant strikes. Grant Dawson capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Grant Dawson: +34Joe Solecki: -34

Performance Statistics

MetricGrant DawsonJoe Solecki
Takedowns Landed30
Takedowns Attempted32
Ground Control Time13:460:14
Ground Strikes Landed385
Ground ELO1 4931 174
ELO Change+34-34
💡

What Happened

Grant Dawson dominated Joe Solecki on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 13:46 of control time, 38 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Grant Dawson: +18Joe Solecki: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricGrant DawsonJoe Solecki
Days Since Last Fight238182
Activity ELO1 2311 087
ELO Change+18-15
💡

What Happened

Grant Dawson demonstrated standard activity with 238 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Grant Dawson capitalized on this activity level, while Joe Solecki's 182-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Grant Dawson: +17Joe Solecki: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricGrant DawsonJoe Solecki
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 1951 065
ELO Change+17-15
💡

What Happened

Grant Dawson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joe Solecki is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Grant Dawson: +17Joe Solecki: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricGrant DawsonJoe Solecki
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1441 042
ELO Change+17-17
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.