March 8, 2019
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Grant Dawson | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 056 | 875 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -56 |
Grant Dawson overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Julian Erosa.
| Metric | Grant Dawson | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 020 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Grant Dawson | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 034 | 896 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Grant Dawson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Grant Dawson | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 57 | 49 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 128 | 85 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 86 | 70 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 014 | 815 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
Grant Dawson edged the striking exchanges with 57 vs 49 significant strikes, 44.5% vs 57.6% accuracy. Grant Dawson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Grant Dawson | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 11 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 10:07 | 0:17 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 24 | 11 |
| Ground ELO | 1 077 | 873 |
| ELO Change | +77 | -77 |
Grant Dawson dominated Julian Erosa on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 10:07 of control time, 24 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Grant Dawson | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 119 |
| Activity ELO | 1 020 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Grant Dawson demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Grant Dawson capitalized on this activity level, while Julian Erosa's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Grant Dawson | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 022 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Grant Dawson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Julian Erosa is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Grant Dawson | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 020 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.