March 19, 2021
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Grant Dawson | Leonardo Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 181 | 1 171 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -38 |
Grant Dawson overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 9 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Leonardo Santos.
| Metric | Grant Dawson | Leonardo Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 102 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Grant Dawson | Leonardo Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:59 | 4:59 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 292 | 1 269 |
| ELO Change | +120 | -60 |
Grant Dawson gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Grant Dawson | Leonardo Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 46 | 30 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 84 | 67 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 75 | 74 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 200 | 1 212 |
| ELO Change | +87 | -87 |
Grant Dawson controlled the striking exchanges with 46 vs 30 significant strikes, 54.8% vs 44.8% accuracy. Grant Dawson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Grant Dawson | Leonardo Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 13 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 8:18 | 1:21 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 396 | 1 208 |
| ELO Change | +58 | -58 |
Grant Dawson controlled Leonardo Santos on the ground with 1 takedown, 8:18 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Grant Dawson | Leonardo Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 246 | 253 |
| Activity ELO | 1 170 | 1 147 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -23 |
Grant Dawson demonstrated standard activity with 246 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Grant Dawson capitalized on this activity level, while Leonardo Santos's 253-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Grant Dawson | Leonardo Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 5 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 147 | 1 161 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -26 |
Grant Dawson continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Leonardo Santos's now at 0.
| Metric | Grant Dawson | Leonardo Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 102 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.