May 9, 2026
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
| Metric | Grant Dawson | Mateusz Rebecki |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 273 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Grant Dawson's 7-fight experience advantage (15 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Grant Dawson for the expected result. Had Mateusz Rebecki pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Grant Dawson | Mateusz Rebecki |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 162 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Grant Dawson | Mateusz Rebecki |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:42 | 4:42 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 411 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -15 |
Grant Dawson earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 4:42, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Mateusz Rebecki was submitted.
| Metric | Grant Dawson | Mateusz Rebecki |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 35 | 33 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 94 | 64 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 71 | 49 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 233 | 1 127 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Grant Dawson edged the striking exchanges with 71 vs 49 total strikes, 37.2% vs 51.6% accuracy. Grant Dawson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Grant Dawson | Mateusz Rebecki |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:08 | 2:22 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 500 | 1 179 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Grant Dawson dominated Mateusz Rebecki on the ground with 1 takedown, 7:08 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Grant Dawson | Mateusz Rebecki |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 154 | 196 |
| Activity ELO | 1 296 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -10 |
Grant Dawson demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Grant Dawson capitalized on this activity level, while Mateusz Rebecki's 196-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Grant Dawson | Mateusz Rebecki |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 218 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -12 |
Grant Dawson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mateusz Rebecki is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Grant Dawson | Mateusz Rebecki |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 162 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

