Gray Maynard vs Nate Diaz

Nate Diaz's 5-fight experience advantage (19 vs 14 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Nate Diaz for the expected result. Had Gray Maynard pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Nate Diaz earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:38, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Nate Diaz controlled the striking exchanges with 34 vs 6 total strikes, 33 vs 5 significant strikes, 60.0% vs 33.3% accuracy. Nate Diaz capitalized on this striking dominance.

Nate Diaz did not secure a significant ground advantage against Gray Maynard on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.

Nate Diaz demonstrated standard activity with 225 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Nate Diaz capitalized on this activity level, while Gray Maynard's 190-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Nate Diaz started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gray Maynard is back at 0 with this loss.

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.