Gray Maynard vs Nik Lentz

October 5, 2018

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1083
(-41)
Gray Maynard
Winner: Nik Lentz
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 1:19

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Gray Maynard-41
Nik Lentz+48
1176
(+48)
Nik Lentz

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Gray Maynard: -31Nik Lentz: +31

Performance Statistics

MetricGray MaynardNik Lentz
Total UFC Fights2021
Experience Gap-11
Experience ELO1 0781 146
ELO Change-31+31
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (20 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Gray Maynard: -21Nik Lentz: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricGray MaynardNik Lentz
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0541 097
ELO Change-21+21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Gray Maynard: -38Nik Lentz: +77

Performance Statistics

MetricGray MaynardNik Lentz
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish1:191:19
Win Type ELO1 1051 255
ELO Change-38+77
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What Happened

Nik Lentz gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Gray Maynard: -74Nik Lentz: +74

Performance Statistics

MetricGray MaynardNik Lentz
Significant Strikes Landed1375
Significant Strikes Attempted27101
Total Strikes Landed1392
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO8821 198
ELO Change-74+74
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What Happened

Nik Lentz dominated the striking exchanges with 92 vs 13 total strikes, 75 vs 13 significant strikes, 74.3% vs 48.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Nik Lentz capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Gray Maynard: -97Nik Lentz: +97

Performance Statistics

MetricGray MaynardNik Lentz
Takedowns Landed02
Takedowns Attempted05
Ground Control Time0:083:34
Ground Strikes Landed040
Ground ELO1 1791 251
ELO Change-97+97
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What Happened

Nik Lentz controlled Gray Maynard on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 3:34 of control time, 40 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Gray Maynard: -22Nik Lentz: +43

Performance Statistics

MetricGray MaynardNik Lentz
Days Since Last Fight456127
Activity ELO1 1801 235
ELO Change-22+43
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What Happened

Nik Lentz demonstrated solid activity levels with 127 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Nik Lentz capitalized on this activity level, while Gray Maynard's 456-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Gray Maynard: -24Nik Lentz: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricGray MaynardNik Lentz
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 1361 133
ELO Change-24+27
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What Happened

Nik Lentz started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gray Maynard is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Gray Maynard: -21Nik Lentz: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricGray MaynardNik Lentz
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0471 096
ELO Change-21+21
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.