September 15, 2009
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gray Maynard | Roger Huerta |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 190 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -27 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (7 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Gray Maynard | Roger Huerta |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 122 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gray Maynard | Roger Huerta |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 294 | 1 238 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Gray Maynard receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Gray Maynard | Roger Huerta |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 23 | 40 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 79 | 166 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 43 | 62 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 281 | 1 230 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Roger Huerta controlled the striking through superior volume (62 vs 43 total strikes), significant strike advantage (40 vs 23). However, since Roger Huerta lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Gray Maynard's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Gray Maynard | Roger Huerta |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:14 | 1:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 414 | 1 217 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Gray Maynard edged out Roger Huerta on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 3:14 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Gray Maynard | Roger Huerta |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 193 | 403 |
| Activity ELO | 1 256 | 1 184 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -19 |
Gray Maynard demonstrated standard activity with 193 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Gray Maynard capitalized on this activity level, while Roger Huerta's 403-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gray Maynard | Roger Huerta |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 6 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 190 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -21 |
Gray Maynard continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Roger Huerta's now at 0.
| Metric | Gray Maynard | Roger Huerta |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 122 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.