May 24, 2013
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gray Maynard | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 231 | 1 223 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +45 |
TJ Grant overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (11 vs 13 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Gray Maynard.
| Metric | Gray Maynard | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 144 | 1 116 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gray Maynard | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:07 | 2:07 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 289 | 1 428 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +93 |
TJ Grant earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:07, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Gray Maynard | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 13 | 26 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 28 | 52 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 13 | 29 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 3 |
| Striking ELO | 1 104 | 1 439 |
| ELO Change | -177 | +177 |
TJ Grant dominated the striking exchanges with 26 vs 13 significant strikes, including 3 devastating knockdowns. TJ Grant capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gray Maynard | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:15 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 446 | 1 357 |
| ELO Change | -87 | +87 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Gray Maynard | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 337 | 119 |
| Activity ELO | 1 295 | 1 259 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +72 |
TJ Grant demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, TJ Grant capitalized on this activity level, while Gray Maynard's 337-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gray Maynard | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 5 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 254 | 1 178 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +57 |
TJ Grant continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Gray Maynard's now at 0.
| Metric | Gray Maynard | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 134 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

