July 6, 2017
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gray Maynard | Teruto Ishihara |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 19 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 14 | -14 |
| Experience ELO | 1 109 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Gray Maynard's 14-fight experience advantage (19 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Gray Maynard for the expected result. Had Teruto Ishihara pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Gray Maynard | Teruto Ishihara |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 075 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gray Maynard | Teruto Ishihara |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 143 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Gray Maynard earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Gray Maynard | Teruto Ishihara |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 16 | 8 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 24 | 13 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 37 | 14 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 956 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | +67 | -67 |
Gray Maynard edged the striking exchanges with 37 vs 14 total strikes, 16 vs 8 significant strikes. Gray Maynard capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gray Maynard | Teruto Ishihara |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 11 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 11 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 12:59 | 0:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 12 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 276 | 947 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -49 |
Gray Maynard dominated Teruto Ishihara on the ground with 11 vs 0 takedowns, 12:59 of control time, 12 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Gray Maynard | Teruto Ishihara |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 216 | 230 |
| Activity ELO | 1 202 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -13 |
Gray Maynard demonstrated standard activity with 216 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Gray Maynard capitalized on this activity level, while Teruto Ishihara's 230-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gray Maynard | Teruto Ishihara |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 160 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -14 |
Gray Maynard started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Teruto Ishihara is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gray Maynard | Teruto Ishihara |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 068 | 996 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.