July 19, 2019
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Greg Hardy | Juan Adams |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 032 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -23 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Greg Hardy | Juan Adams |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 019 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Greg Hardy | Juan Adams |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:45 | 0:45 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 166 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +104 | -39 |
Greg Hardy secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:45 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Greg Hardy | Juan Adams |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 36 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 38 | 7 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 36 | 3 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 172 | 919 |
| ELO Change | +108 | -108 |
Greg Hardy controlled the striking exchanges with 36 vs 3 total strikes, 36 vs 3 significant strikes, 94.7% vs 42.9% accuracy. Greg Hardy capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Greg Hardy | Juan Adams |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:17 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 31 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 053 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -57 |
Greg Hardy controlled Juan Adams on the ground with 0:17 of control time, 31 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Greg Hardy | Juan Adams |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 84 | 77 |
| Activity ELO | 1 085 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +58 | -19 |
Greg Hardy demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 84 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Greg Hardy capitalized on this activity level, while Juan Adams's 77-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Greg Hardy | Juan Adams |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 025 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -21 |
Greg Hardy extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Juan Adams is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Greg Hardy | Juan Adams |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 019 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.