October 30, 2020
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Greg Hardy | Maurice Greene |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 083 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -22 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (7 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Greg Hardy | Maurice Greene |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 046 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Greg Hardy | Maurice Greene |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:12 | 1:12 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 262 | 1 121 |
| ELO Change | +81 | -39 |
Greg Hardy gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Greg Hardy | Maurice Greene |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 46 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 74 | 37 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 56 | 17 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 255 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +67 | -67 |
Greg Hardy controlled the striking exchanges with 56 vs 17 total strikes, 46 vs 17 significant strikes, 62.2% vs 45.9% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Greg Hardy capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Greg Hardy | Maurice Greene |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:32 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 27 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 112 | 898 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -51 |
Greg Hardy controlled Maurice Greene on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:32 of control time, 27 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Greg Hardy | Maurice Greene |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 176 | 127 |
| Activity ELO | 1 130 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -22 |
Greg Hardy demonstrated solid activity levels with 176 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Greg Hardy capitalized on this activity level, while Maurice Greene's 127-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Greg Hardy | Maurice Greene |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 059 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -22 |
Greg Hardy extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Maurice Greene is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Greg Hardy | Maurice Greene |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 045 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.