March 4, 2022
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Greg Hardy | Serghei Spivac |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 018 | 1 126 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +31 |
Serghei Spivac overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 10 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Greg Hardy.
| Metric | Greg Hardy | Serghei Spivac |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 986 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Greg Hardy | Serghei Spivac |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:16 | 2:16 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 140 | 1 259 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +102 |
Serghei Spivac earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:16, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Greg Hardy | Serghei Spivac |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 7 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 12 | 27 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 7 | 17 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 988 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -96 | +96 |
Serghei Spivac slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 14 vs 7 significant strikes. Serghei Spivac capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Greg Hardy | Serghei Spivac |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:21 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 14 |
| Ground ELO | 962 | 1 205 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Serghei Spivac controlled Greg Hardy on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 1:21 of control time, 14 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Greg Hardy | Serghei Spivac |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 239 | 183 |
| Activity ELO | 1 076 | 1 147 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +24 |
Serghei Spivac demonstrated standard activity with 183 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Serghei Spivac capitalized on this activity level, while Greg Hardy's 239-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Greg Hardy | Serghei Spivac |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 002 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Serghei Spivac started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Greg Hardy is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Greg Hardy | Serghei Spivac |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 985 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.