July 9, 2021
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Greg Hardy | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 045 | 1 181 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +23 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (9 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Greg Hardy | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 006 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Greg Hardy | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:07 | 1:07 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 185 | 1 360 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +85 |
Tai Tuivasa earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:07, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Greg Hardy | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 11 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 15 | 23 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 6 | 11 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 084 | 1 304 |
| ELO Change | -88 | +88 |
Tai Tuivasa controlled the striking exchanges with 11 vs 6 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Tai Tuivasa capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Greg Hardy | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 005 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -75 | +75 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Greg Hardy | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 203 | 112 |
| Activity ELO | 1 095 | 1 189 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +49 |
Tai Tuivasa demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Tai Tuivasa capitalized on this activity level, while Greg Hardy's 203-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Greg Hardy | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 021 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +25 |
Tai Tuivasa extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Greg Hardy is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Greg Hardy | Tai Tuivasa |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 005 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.