October 16, 1997
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Greg Stott | Mark Kerr |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 977 | 1 116 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Mark Kerr's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Mark Kerr for the expected result. Had Greg Stott pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Greg Stott | Mark Kerr |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 984 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Greg Stott | Mark Kerr |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:17 | 0:17 |
| Win Type ELO | 977 | 1 234 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +68 |
Mark Kerr secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:17 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Greg Stott | Mark Kerr |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 3 | 2 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 928 | 1 180 |
| ELO Change | -72 | +72 |
Virtually no striking took place with only 1 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.
| Metric | Greg Stott | Mark Kerr |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | -- | -- |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 989 | 1 201 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +11 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Greg Stott | Mark Kerr |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 82 |
| Activity ELO | 991 | 1 259 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +26 |
Mark Kerr demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 82 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Mark Kerr capitalized on this activity level, while Greg Stott's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Greg Stott | Mark Kerr |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 982 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +24 |
Mark Kerr extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Greg Stott is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Greg Stott | Mark Kerr |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 981 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.