Gregor Gillespie vs Jason Gonzalez

September 15, 2017

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1126
(+34)
Gregor Gillespie
Winner: Gregor Gillespie
Submission
Round 2 • 2:11

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Gregor Gillespie+34
Jason Gonzalez-29
969
(-29)
Jason Gonzalez

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Gregor Gillespie: +22Jason Gonzalez: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricGregor GillespieJason Gonzalez
Total UFC Fights33
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO1 128984
ELO Change+22-15
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Gregor Gillespie: +18Jason Gonzalez: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricGregor GillespieJason Gonzalez
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 060981
ELO Change+18-18
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Gregor Gillespie: +44Jason Gonzalez: -28

Performance Statistics

MetricGregor GillespieJason Gonzalez
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish2:112:11
Win Type ELO1 1921 003
ELO Change+44-28
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What Happened

Gregor Gillespie earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:11, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Jason Gonzalez was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Gregor Gillespie: +30Jason Gonzalez: -30

Performance Statistics

MetricGregor GillespieJason Gonzalez
Significant Strikes Landed2022
Significant Strikes Attempted5643
Total Strikes Landed3427
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 141905
ELO Change+30-30
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What Happened

Gregor Gillespie controlled the striking exchanges with 35.7% vs 51.2% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Gregor Gillespie capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Gregor Gillespie: +85Jason Gonzalez: -85

Performance Statistics

MetricGregor GillespieJason Gonzalez
Takedowns Landed40
Takedowns Attempted60
Ground Control Time5:480:00
Ground Strikes Landed71
Ground ELO1 273912
ELO Change+85-85
💡

What Happened

Gregor Gillespie dominated Jason Gonzalez on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 5:48 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Gregor Gillespie: +34Jason Gonzalez: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricGregor GillespieJason Gonzalez
Days Since Last Fight161231
Activity ELO1 0841 002
ELO Change+34-19
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What Happened

Gregor Gillespie demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Gregor Gillespie capitalized on this activity level, while Jason Gonzalez's 231-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Gregor Gillespie: +23Jason Gonzalez: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricGregor GillespieJason Gonzalez
Win Streak30
Win Streak ELO1 073983
ELO Change+23-18
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What Happened

Gregor Gillespie extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jason Gonzalez is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Gregor Gillespie: +18Jason Gonzalez: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricGregor GillespieJason Gonzalez
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 060981
ELO Change+18-18
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.