January 26, 2018
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gregor Gillespie | Jordan Rinaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 150 | 996 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Gregor Gillespie | Jordan Rinaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 078 | 987 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gregor Gillespie | Jordan Rinaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:46 | 4:46 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 253 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -28 |
Gregor Gillespie earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:46, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Gregor Gillespie | Jordan Rinaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 34 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 55 | 16 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 42 | 7 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 214 | 974 |
| ELO Change | +73 | -73 |
Gregor Gillespie controlled the striking exchanges with 42 vs 7 total strikes, 34 vs 7 significant strikes, 61.8% vs 43.8% accuracy. Gregor Gillespie capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gregor Gillespie | Jordan Rinaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:43 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 28 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 294 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Gregor Gillespie controlled Jordan Rinaldi on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 3:43 of control time, 28 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Gregor Gillespie | Jordan Rinaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 134 | 176 |
| Activity ELO | 1 117 | 993 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -17 |
Gregor Gillespie demonstrated solid activity levels with 134 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Gregor Gillespie capitalized on this activity level, while Jordan Rinaldi's 176-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gregor Gillespie | Jordan Rinaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 097 | 991 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -17 |
Gregor Gillespie extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jordan Rinaldi is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gregor Gillespie | Jordan Rinaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 078 | 987 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.