May 31, 2018
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gregor Gillespie | Vinc Pichel |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 180 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -28 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Gregor Gillespie | Vinc Pichel |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 098 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gregor Gillespie | Vinc Pichel |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:06 | 4:06 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 306 | 1 156 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -34 |
Gregor Gillespie earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:06, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Vinc Pichel was submitted.
| Metric | Gregor Gillespie | Vinc Pichel |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 13 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 26 | 22 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 30 | 35 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 235 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Gregor Gillespie slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 13 vs 7 significant strikes, 50.0% vs 31.8% accuracy. Gregor Gillespie capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gregor Gillespie | Vinc Pichel |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 7 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:51 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 440 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +146 | -146 |
Gregor Gillespie dominated Vinc Pichel on the ground with 7 vs 0 takedowns, 7:51 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Gregor Gillespie | Vinc Pichel |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 125 | 125 |
| Activity ELO | 1 156 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -20 |
Gregor Gillespie demonstrated solid activity levels with 125 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Gregor Gillespie capitalized on this activity level, while Vinc Pichel's 125-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gregor Gillespie | Vinc Pichel |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 5 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 136 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -20 |
Gregor Gillespie continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Vinc Pichel's now at 0.
| Metric | Gregor Gillespie | Vinc Pichel |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 098 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.