Gregory Rodrigues vs Jack Hermansson

June 28, 2025

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1218
(+56)
Gregory Rodrigues
Winner: Gregory Rodrigues
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 4:21

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Gregory Rodrigues+56
Jack Hermansson-42
1211
(-42)
Jack Hermansson

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Gregory Rodrigues: +60Jack Hermansson: -41

Performance Statistics

MetricGregory RodriguesJack Hermansson
Total UFC Fights1118
Experience Gap-77
Experience ELO1 1911 200
ELO Change+60-41
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What Happened

Gregory Rodrigues overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (11 vs 18 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jack Hermansson.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Gregory Rodrigues: +23Jack Hermansson: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricGregory RodriguesJack Hermansson
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1001 082
ELO Change+23-23
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Gregory Rodrigues: +113Jack Hermansson: -53

Performance Statistics

MetricGregory RodriguesJack Hermansson
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish4:214:21
Win Type ELO1 4621 386
ELO Change+113-53
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What Happened

Gregory Rodrigues earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:21, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Gregory Rodrigues: +108Jack Hermansson: -108

Performance Statistics

MetricGregory RodriguesJack Hermansson
Significant Strikes Landed1830
Significant Strikes Attempted6355
Total Strikes Landed1830
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 2991 184
ELO Change+108-108
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What Happened

Jack Hermansson controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (30 vs 18), superior accuracy (54.5% vs 28.6%). However, since Jack Hermansson lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Gregory Rodrigues's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Gregory Rodrigues: +32Jack Hermansson: -32

Performance Statistics

MetricGregory RodriguesJack Hermansson
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time0:030:00
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 1981 329
ELO Change+32-32
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What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Gregory Rodrigues: +57Jack Hermansson: -29

Performance Statistics

MetricGregory RodriguesJack Hermansson
Days Since Last Fight133505
Activity ELO1 2611 307
ELO Change+57-29
💡

What Happened

Gregory Rodrigues demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Gregory Rodrigues capitalized on this activity level, while Jack Hermansson's 505-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Gregory Rodrigues: +26Jack Hermansson: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricGregory RodriguesJack Hermansson
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 1311 121
ELO Change+26-23
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What Happened

Gregory Rodrigues started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jack Hermansson is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Gregory Rodrigues: +23Jack Hermansson: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricGregory RodriguesJack Hermansson
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0991 080
ELO Change+23-23
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.