June 17, 2022
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gregory Rodrigues | Julian Marquez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 063 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -39 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Gregory Rodrigues | Julian Marquez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 041 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gregory Rodrigues | Julian Marquez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:18 | 3:18 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 220 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | +100 | -47 |
Gregory Rodrigues earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:18, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Gregory Rodrigues | Julian Marquez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 49 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 72 | 42 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 50 | 13 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 3 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 249 | 880 |
| ELO Change | +203 | -203 |
Gregory Rodrigues dominated the striking exchanges with 50 vs 13 total strikes, 49 vs 13 significant strikes, 68.1% vs 31.0% accuracy, including 3 devastating knockdowns. Gregory Rodrigues capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gregory Rodrigues | Julian Marquez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:52 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 13 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 134 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -56 |
Gregory Rodrigues landed 3 knockdowns followed by 13 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Gregory Rodrigues | Julian Marquez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 434 |
| Activity ELO | 1 115 | 1 145 |
| ELO Change | +71 | -29 |
Gregory Rodrigues demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Gregory Rodrigues capitalized on this activity level, while Julian Marquez's 434-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gregory Rodrigues | Julian Marquez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 050 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Gregory Rodrigues started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Julian Marquez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gregory Rodrigues | Julian Marquez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.