November 27, 2015
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Guangyou Ning | Marco Beltran |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 022 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +37 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Guangyou Ning | Marco Beltran |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Guangyou Ning | Marco Beltran |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 117 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Marco Beltran receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Guangyou Ning | Marco Beltran |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 23 | 30 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 61 | 90 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 67 | 44 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 084 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Guangyou Ning controlled the striking through superior volume (67 vs 44 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (23 vs 30). However, since Guangyou Ning lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Marco Beltran's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Guangyou Ning | Marco Beltran |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:49 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 090 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Marco Beltran did not secure a significant ground advantage against Guangyou Ning on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1 ground strike, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Guangyou Ning | Marco Beltran |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 197 | 378 |
| Activity ELO | 1 026 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +20 |
Marco Beltran demonstrated extended layoff with 378 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Marco Beltran capitalized on this activity level, while Guangyou Ning's 197-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Guangyou Ning | Marco Beltran |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 027 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +27 |
Marco Beltran extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Guangyou Ning is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Guangyou Ning | Marco Beltran |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.