November 25, 2016
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Guangyou Ning | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 998 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +35 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Guangyou Ning | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 997 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Guangyou Ning | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 059 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | -58 | +58 |
Marlon Vera earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Guangyou Ning | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 46 | 36 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 107 | 72 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 66 | 46 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 010 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | -74 | +74 |
Guangyou Ning controlled the striking through superior volume (66 vs 46 total strikes), significant strike advantage (46 vs 36). However, since Guangyou Ning lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Marlon Vera's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Guangyou Ning | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:48 | 2:43 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 15 | 11 |
| Ground ELO | 1 051 | 971 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Marlon Vera landed 1 knockdown followed by 11 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Guangyou Ning | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 364 | 273 |
| Activity ELO | 1 002 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Marlon Vera demonstrated standard activity with 273 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Marlon Vera capitalized on this activity level, while Guangyou Ning's 364-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Guangyou Ning | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 003 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +26 |
Marlon Vera started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Guangyou Ning is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Guangyou Ning | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 997 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.