Guido Cannetti vs Kris Moutinho

March 11, 2022

Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

970
(+47)
Guido Cannetti
Winner: Guido Cannetti
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 2:07

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Guido Cannetti+47
Kris Moutinho-38
945
(-38)
Kris Moutinho

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Guido Cannetti: +39Kris Moutinho: -39

Performance Statistics

MetricGuido CannettiKris Moutinho
Total UFC Fights82
Experience Gap6-6
Experience ELO937944
ELO Change+39-39
💡

What Happened

Guido Cannetti's 6-fight experience advantage (8 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Guido Cannetti for the expected result. Had Kris Moutinho pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Guido Cannetti: +23Kris Moutinho: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricGuido CannettiKris Moutinho
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO968961
ELO Change+23-23
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Guido Cannetti: +106Kris Moutinho: -47

Performance Statistics

MetricGuido CannettiKris Moutinho
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:072:07
Win Type ELO1 050941
ELO Change+106-47
💡

What Happened

Guido Cannetti earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:07, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Guido Cannetti: +102Kris Moutinho: -102

Performance Statistics

MetricGuido CannettiKris Moutinho
Significant Strikes Landed2811
Significant Strikes Attempted4430
Total Strikes Landed2811
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO958866
ELO Change+102-102
💡

What Happened

Guido Cannetti controlled the striking exchanges with 28 vs 11 significant strikes, 63.6% vs 36.7% accuracy. Guido Cannetti capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Guido Cannetti: +28Kris Moutinho: -28

Performance Statistics

MetricGuido CannettiKris Moutinho
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:010:00
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO900958
ELO Change+28-28
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Guido Cannetti: +27Kris Moutinho: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricGuido CannettiKris Moutinho
Days Since Last Fight197246
Activity ELO1 001965
ELO Change+27-22
💡

What Happened

Guido Cannetti demonstrated standard activity with 197 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Guido Cannetti capitalized on this activity level, while Kris Moutinho's 246-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Guido Cannetti: +25Kris Moutinho: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricGuido CannettiKris Moutinho
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO977962
ELO Change+25-23
💡

What Happened

Guido Cannetti started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kris Moutinho is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Guido Cannetti: +23Kris Moutinho: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricGuido CannettiKris Moutinho
Weight ClassBantamweightBantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO968961
ELO Change+23-23
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.