March 11, 2022
Bantamweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Guido Cannetti | Kris Moutinho |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 937 | 944 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Guido Cannetti's 6-fight experience advantage (8 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Guido Cannetti for the expected result. Had Kris Moutinho pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Guido Cannetti | Kris Moutinho |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 968 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Guido Cannetti | Kris Moutinho |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:07 | 2:07 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 050 | 941 |
| ELO Change | +106 | -47 |
Guido Cannetti earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:07, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Guido Cannetti | Kris Moutinho |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 28 | 11 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 44 | 30 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 28 | 11 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 958 | 866 |
| ELO Change | +102 | -102 |
Guido Cannetti controlled the striking exchanges with 28 vs 11 significant strikes, 63.6% vs 36.7% accuracy. Guido Cannetti capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Guido Cannetti | Kris Moutinho |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:01 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 900 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Guido Cannetti | Kris Moutinho |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 197 | 246 |
| Activity ELO | 1 001 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -22 |
Guido Cannetti demonstrated standard activity with 197 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Guido Cannetti capitalized on this activity level, while Kris Moutinho's 246-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Guido Cannetti | Kris Moutinho |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 977 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -23 |
Guido Cannetti started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kris Moutinho is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Guido Cannetti | Kris Moutinho |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 968 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

