March 10, 2023
Bantamweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Guido Cannetti | Mario Bautista |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 953 | 1 149 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +21 |
Mario Bautista overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 10 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Guido Cannetti.
| Metric | Guido Cannetti | Mario Bautista |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 973 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Guido Cannetti | Mario Bautista |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:18 | 3:18 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 097 | 1 271 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +51 |
Mario Bautista earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:18, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Guido Cannetti | Mario Bautista |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 5 | 4 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 5 | 5 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 002 | 1 147 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Mario Bautista slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 75.0% vs 40.0% accuracy. Mario Bautista capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Guido Cannetti | Mario Bautista |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:16 | 2:36 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 911 | 1 297 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +48 |
Mario Bautista dominated Guido Cannetti on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 2:36 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Guido Cannetti | Mario Bautista |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 162 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 012 | 1 155 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +30 |
Mario Bautista demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Mario Bautista capitalized on this activity level, while Guido Cannetti's 162-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Guido Cannetti | Mario Bautista |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 987 | 1 108 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +23 |
Mario Bautista extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Guido Cannetti is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Guido Cannetti | Mario Bautista |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 973 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.