Guido Cannetti vs Marlon Vera

November 16, 2018

Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

988
(-32)
Guido Cannetti
Winner: Marlon Vera
Submission
Round 2 • 1:31

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Guido Cannetti-32
Marlon Vera+37
1092
(+37)
Marlon Vera

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Guido Cannetti: -29Marlon Vera: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricGuido CannettiMarlon Vera
Total UFC Fights510
Experience Gap-55
Experience ELO9991 086
ELO Change-29+29
💡

What Happened

Marlon Vera's 5-fight experience advantage (10 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Marlon Vera for the expected result. Had Guido Cannetti pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Guido Cannetti: -20Marlon Vera: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricGuido CannettiMarlon Vera
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9851 041
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Guido Cannetti: -27Marlon Vera: +42

Performance Statistics

MetricGuido CannettiMarlon Vera
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish1:311:31
Win Type ELO1 0001 198
ELO Change-27+42
💡

What Happened

Marlon Vera earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:31, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Guido Cannetti was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Guido Cannetti: -39Marlon Vera: +39

Performance Statistics

MetricGuido CannettiMarlon Vera
Significant Strikes Landed2424
Significant Strikes Attempted4235
Total Strikes Landed3736
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO9671 139
ELO Change-39+39
💡

What Happened

Marlon Vera controlled the striking exchanges with 68.6% vs 57.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Marlon Vera capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Guido Cannetti: -82Marlon Vera: +82

Performance Statistics

MetricGuido CannettiMarlon Vera
Takedowns Landed22
Takedowns Attempted42
Ground Control Time2:461:21
Ground Strikes Landed84
Ground ELO9571 044
ELO Change-82+82
💡

What Happened

Marlon Vera controlled Guido Cannetti on the ground with 2 takedowns, 1:21 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Guido Cannetti: -18Marlon Vera: +46

Performance Statistics

MetricGuido CannettiMarlon Vera
Days Since Last Fight183106
Activity ELO1 0181 128
ELO Change-18+46
💡

What Happened

Marlon Vera demonstrated solid activity levels with 106 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Marlon Vera capitalized on this activity level, while Guido Cannetti's 183-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Guido Cannetti: -19Marlon Vera: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricGuido CannettiMarlon Vera
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO9931 062
ELO Change-19+23
💡

What Happened

Marlon Vera extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Guido Cannetti is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Guido Cannetti: -20Marlon Vera: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricGuido CannettiMarlon Vera
Weight ClassBantamweightBantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9851 041
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.