Guido Cannetti vs Randy Costa

September 30, 2022

Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1011
(+41)
Guido Cannetti
Winner: Guido Cannetti
Submission
Round 1 • 1:04

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Guido Cannetti+41
Randy Costa-35
945
(-35)
Randy Costa

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Guido Cannetti: +34Randy Costa: -34

Performance Statistics

MetricGuido CannettiRandy Costa
Total UFC Fights96
Experience Gap3-3
Experience ELO971933
ELO Change+34-34
💡

What Happened

Guido Cannetti's 3-fight experience advantage (9 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Guido Cannetti for the expected result. Had Randy Costa pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Guido Cannetti: +22Randy Costa: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricGuido CannettiRandy Costa
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO990955
ELO Change+22-22
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Guido Cannetti: +78Randy Costa: -41

Performance Statistics

MetricGuido CannettiRandy Costa
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish1:041:04
Win Type ELO1 1281 001
ELO Change+78-41
💡

What Happened

Guido Cannetti earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:04, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Guido Cannetti: +62Randy Costa: -62

Performance Statistics

MetricGuido CannettiRandy Costa
Significant Strikes Landed82
Significant Strikes Attempted137
Total Strikes Landed82
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 020914
ELO Change+62-62
💡

What Happened

Guido Cannetti slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 8 vs 2 significant strikes, 61.5% vs 28.6% accuracy. Guido Cannetti capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Guido Cannetti: +59Randy Costa: -59

Performance Statistics

MetricGuido CannettiRandy Costa
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted10
Ground Control Time0:090:00
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO959864
ELO Change+59-59
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Guido Cannetti: +26Randy Costa: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricGuido CannettiRandy Costa
Days Since Last Fight203294
Activity ELO1 027972
ELO Change+26-21
💡

What Happened

Guido Cannetti demonstrated standard activity with 203 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Guido Cannetti capitalized on this activity level, while Randy Costa's 294-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Guido Cannetti: +26Randy Costa: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricGuido CannettiRandy Costa
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 003962
ELO Change+26-21
💡

What Happened

Guido Cannetti extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Randy Costa is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Guido Cannetti: +22Randy Costa: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricGuido CannettiRandy Costa
Weight ClassBantamweightBantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO990955
ELO Change+22-22
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.